Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
0.6 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Democrats, 26+ pts · —
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Preço registado
Democrats, 26+ pts 96.5%Líder entre 13 opções
Democrats, 26+ pts 96.5%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
53,5 €
Contratos em aberto
4,6 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
Democrats, 26+ ptsSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
5/05/26, 20:23 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Democrats, 26+ pts
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regras de cada resultado
- Democrats, 26+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 29+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 32+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 35+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 38+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 41+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 47+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 47 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 44+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 50+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 53+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 53 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 56+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 56 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 59+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 59 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, 62+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 62 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
