KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Troy Carter 12%+6.9pt
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
312,7 €
Liquidez
7,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.7% / 15.0%
Spread
7.3 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
26/02/26, 15:00 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
LA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiArbitrage opportunity between Kalshi and Polymarket on Gavin Newsom as 2028 Democratic nominee disappears by:
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic nominee?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Democratic Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
- If Louisiana law is amended to restore a formal nomination process for U.S. House races, or if the relevant state party formally designates a nominee for a given seat, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 615,5 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 mais resultados
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- A Kalshi cota Troy Carter em 12% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando LA-02 Democratic nominee? é resolvido?
- LA-02 Democratic nominee? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como LA-02 Democratic nominee? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.