- Peggy Flanagan, 4-6%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Peggy Flanagan, 6-8%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Peggy Flanagan, 8-10%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Peggy Flanagan, 2-4%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Peggy Flanagan, 10-12%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Michele Tafoya, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michele Tafoya minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michele Tafoya if Michele Tafoya wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michele Tafoya loses. If Michele Tafoya wins, the margin will be positive; if Michele Tafoya loses, the margin will be negative; if Michele Tafoya ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Michele Tafoya, ≥2%
- If the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michele Tafoya minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michele Tafoya if Michele Tafoya wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michele Tafoya loses. If Michele Tafoya wins, the margin will be positive; if Michele Tafoya loses, the margin will be negative; if Michele Tafoya ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Peggy Flanagan, 12-14%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Peggy Flanagan, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Peggy Flanagan, ≥14%
- If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is at or above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…