Florida Senate: margin of victory
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Ashley Moody, 6-8% · —
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Preço registado
Ashley Moody, 6-8% 14.5%Líder entre 11 opções
Ashley Moody, 6-8% 14.5%Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
1,9 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Ashley Moody, 6-8%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
23/10/26, 23:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Ashley Moody, 6-8%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
Liquida via:Florida Division of Elections
Regras de cada resultado
- Ashley Moody, 6-8%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Ashley Moody, 8-10%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Ashley Moody, 10-12%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Ashley Moody, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Ashley Moody, 14-16%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Ashley Moody, 2-4%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Ashley Moody, 12-14%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Ashley Moody, 4-6%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Angie Nixon, ≥2%
- If the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Angie Nixon minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Angie Nixon if Angie Nixon wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Angie Nixon loses. If Angie Nixon wins, the margin will be positive; if Angie Nixon loses, the margin will be negative; if Angie Nixon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angie Nixon r…
- Ashley Moody, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Moody minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Moody if Ashley Moody wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Moody loses. If Ashley Moody wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Moody loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Moody ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley…
- Angie Nixon, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Angie Nixon minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Angie Nixon if Angie Nixon wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Angie Nixon loses. If Angie Nixon wins, the margin will be positive; if Angie Nixon loses, the margin will be negative; if Angie Nixon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angie Nixon r…
