KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
4.0% / 4.5%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
9/09/25, 14:00 UTC3/11/26, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If a pre-midterm DNC convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Democrats hold a midterm convention??
- A Kalshi cota No em 96% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? é resolvido?
- Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a pre-midterm DNC convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.