KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
7,8 €
Liquidez
9,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
7/07/26, 16:37 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2027 em 21% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? é resolvido?
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.