KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2027 8.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 8.5%Qualidade do mercado
53 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
60,9 €
Contratos em aberto
11 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
7/07/26, 16:37 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdeu
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2027
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.