KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 20:35 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Oct 1, 2026 1%
Qualidade do mercado
23 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
380,2 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 3.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
11/08/26, 00:00 UTC1/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader??
- A Kalshi cota Before Oct 1, 2026 em 1% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? é resolvido?
- John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.