KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2030 70%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
20.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
7/07/26, 20:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran hold a presidential election by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran hold a presidential election?
KalshiWhen will Ukraine hold their next Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine hold a national referendum on conceding territory in 2026?
FutuurRegras
If Ukraine holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the government of Ukraine
- If Ukraine holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ukraine holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ukraine holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Ukraine hold a presidential election??
- A Kalshi cota Before 2030 em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? é resolvido?
- When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Ukraine holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.