KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 58%+2.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
115,5 €
Liquidez
141,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
58.0% / 62.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
13/01/26, 15:00 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?
KalshiWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketRegras
If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races??
- A Kalshi cota Yes em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? é resolvido?
- Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.