Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 58%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado21/01/26, 06:43 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep/will-democrats-sweep-the-core-four-senate-races-in-2026/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03
- If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from the states of Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi) é resolvido?
- Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep/will-democrats-sweep-the-core-four-senate-races-in-2026/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03