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Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2030 69.5%Líder entre 4 opções
Before Jan 1, 2030 69.5%Qualidade do mercado
21 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
562,5 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 52 minutos
Atrasado13/07/26, 17:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2030
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PolymarketRegras
If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:SemaforABCBloombergNBCThe Washington PostAssociated PressThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsReutersThe InformationPoliticoAxiosMSNBCCNNthe New York TimesCBS
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states event claim occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.