KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBaidu 1%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
77 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
28,3 mil €
Liquidez
24,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 1.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
21/07/26, 2:0027/07/26, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Baidu1%
Grandes negociações
$1.4k99.0%KALSHITencent — Nohá 7 h
KALSHITencent — Nohá 7 h$1.1k99.0%KALSHIMiniMax — Nohá 7 h
KALSHIMiniMax — Nohá 7 hMercados Relacionados
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 mil €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
315,5 €Sim: 84.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
1,9 mil €#10: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
43,8 €Sim: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
3,3 mil €Other: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
2,3 mil €Alibaba: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
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If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.