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  3. Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsCrime & Justice6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 29%-1.0%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,7 €

Liquidez

23 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

23.0% / 29.0%

Spread

26.1%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

7/01/26, 15:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before Jan 1, 202729%

Regras

If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
  • If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
  • Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.

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Regras

If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
  • If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
  • Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.