Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsCrime & Justice
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Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 28 de jul. de 2026, 00:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atualBefore Jan 1, 2027 10%
Qualidade do mercado
20 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Atualizado há 49 minutos
Atrasado7/01/26, 15:001/07/26, 3:59
Tendências
10%
0%
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Tendência de volume
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If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.