When will AP call the Alaska Senate election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20268d
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 4 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
Before Jan 4 54.5%Líder entre 6 opções
Before Jan 4 54.5%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
652,8 €
Contratos em aberto
733 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
Before Jan 4Spread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
4/11/26, 22:30 UTC14/11/26, 05:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 4
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?
KalshiWill Impostor Dan Sullivan finish third in the Alaska Senate election?
Manifold MarketsAlaska Senate election: number of rounds
KalshiWill the Fake Dan Sullivan Effect the Results of the Alaska Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AP call the NC-03 House election?
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 14
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 11
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 18
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 19
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 26
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
