KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Above 5.24% (99%)
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 4 de nov. de 2026, 13:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Above 5.24%99%
Above 5.35%1%
Above 5.26%99%
Above 5.34%1%
Above 5.25%99%
Above 5.23%99%
Above 5.33%5%
Above 5.27%96%
Above 5.32%8%
Above 5.21%0%
Above 5.22%0%
Above 5.28%94%
Above 5.29%0%
Above 5.30%0%
Above 5.31%0%
Above 5.24%Ganhou
Above 5.26%Perdeu
Above 5.25%Perdeu
Above 5.23%Perdeu
Above 5.27%Perdeu
Above 5.28%Perdeu
Above 5.32%Perdeu
Above 5.33%Perdeu
Above 5.35%Perdeu
Above 5.34%Perdeu
Above 5.21%Perdeu
Above 5.22%Perdeu
Above 5.29%Perdeu
Above 5.30%Perdeu
Above 5.31%Perdeu
Above 5.36%Perdeu
Above 5.37%Perdeu
Above 5.38%Perdeu
Above 5.39%Perdeu
Above 5.40%Perdeu
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Regras
If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.24% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Pyth - 30Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 5.24%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.24% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.26%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.26% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.25%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.25% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.23%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.23% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.27%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.27% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.28%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.28% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.32%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.32% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.33%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.33% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.35%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.35% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.34%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.34% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.21%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.21% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.22%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.22% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.29%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.29% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.30%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.30% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.31%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.31% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.36%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.36% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.37%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.37% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.38%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.38% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.39%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.39% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.40%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.40% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.41%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.41% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.42%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.42% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.43%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.43% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.44%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.44% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.45%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.45% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.46%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.46% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.47%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.47% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.48%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.48% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.49%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.49% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.50%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.50% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.51%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.51% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.52%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.52% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.53%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.53% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.54%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.54% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.55%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.55% at Nov 4, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.