KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
5.07% or below · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
5.07% or below 37.5%Líder entre 20 opções
5.07% or below 37.5%Qualidade do mercado
24 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
89 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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5.07% or belowSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
16/10/26, 23:05 UTC23/10/26, 19:30 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 1h (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · 5.07% or below
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.08% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Regras de cada resultado
- 5.07% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.08% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.89% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.06% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.07% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.05% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.06% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.05% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.03% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.04% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.03% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.01% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.02% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.01% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.99% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.00% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.99% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.97% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.98% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.97% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.95% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.96% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.95% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.93% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.94% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.93% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.91% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.92% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.91% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.89% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.90% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
