FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 94%
Não 94%Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
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380 €
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Plague declared public health emergency by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill the WHO declare a Nipah Virus pandemic before 2028?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Cases and outbreaks of the Nipah virus, a zoonotic disease with a high fatality rate, have been periodically reported in parts of South and Southeast Asia.
- Given concerns about its potential for severe outcomes and cross-border spread, there is ongoing attention to how the international health community may respond if the situation escalates.
- The World Health Organization (WHO) may declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) when facing an “extraordinary event that constitutes a public health risk to other countries through the international spread of disease and potentially requires a coordinated international response.”
- If, at any point through December 31, 2026, the WHO declares that the spread of the Nipah virus constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.