Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Iowa's Senate election winner?

A Futuur cota Republican Party em 62% em 12 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Iowa's Senate election winner é resolvido?

Iowa's Senate election winner deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.

A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket, Smarkets.

FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificados

Probabilidade implícita atual

Republican Party 62%

Qualidade do mercado

38 / 100

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2026 Iowa Senate Race

Regras

This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate election in the state of Iowa, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Each of the markets below covers one party; exactly one will resolve "Yes".
The market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from Iowa will resolve to "Yes".
A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.
If the officially elected candidate's ballot-listed designation is not one of the parties listed below, all listed markets resolve "No".
The winner is the candidate who receives the most votes (plurality); Iowa does not hold runoff elections.