PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
September 30 28%+17.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
52 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 3,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
26.0% / 31.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
1
7d wijziging
+10.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
5 jun 26, 22:28 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, (49.048958° N, 37.829063° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.