Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 59%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jun 26, 23:32 UTC30 nov 27, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date?
PolymarketChina provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Russia controls any part of Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- For the duration of the war, any YES resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources:
- UAControlMap
- UkrDailyUpdate
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 363K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 245,5K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 62,8 mln.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 59% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 30 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria