PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
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September 30 100%+2.4ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
42 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,7K
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
0.1 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+73.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 39 dagen geleden
Verouderd23 mrt 26, 22:3531 mei 26, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
May 310%
June 305%
March 310%
April 300%
September 30100%
July 31100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.353724° N, 37.072518° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.