PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdPer markt afgewikkeld door de provider
Afgewikkeld: 23 jul 2026, 23:39
Dit evenement heeft geen enkele winnaar. De provider heeft elke markt apart afgewikkeld; elke markt toont zijn eigen uitkomst.
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
May 310%
June 305%
March 310%
April 300%
September 30100%
July 31100%
September 30Gewonnen
July 31Gewonnen
May 31Verloren
June 30Verloren
March 31Verloren
April 30Verloren
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.353724° N, 37.072518° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.