PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansDecember 31 21%+2.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
91 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 25,7K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+2.5%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
8 jul 26, 15:3631 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
December 3121%
Volumetrend
$1.7k8 jul20d aan data27 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) located in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.