PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Wacht op geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm wacht op door de provider bevestigde afwikkeling voordat deze markt als beslist wordt behandeld.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 01:56 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
September 15 100%+57.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
65 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 15,9K
Liquiditeit
€ 50K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
99.1% / 100.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd3 sep 26, 14:59 UTC30 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
September 15100%
September 30100%
100%
100%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.