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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
September 15 99%+43.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 28,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 71,5K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
98.2% / 99.7%
Spread
1.5 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd31 aug 26, 18:3730 sep 26, 23:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Open markten
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+7 extra uitkomsten
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+3 extra uitkomsten
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- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Polymarket prijst September 15 op 99% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran target Jordan by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran target Jordan by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran target Jordan by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.