Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July?
Inflation
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Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 123 dagen geleden
Verouderd13 jul 21, 0:0011 aug 21, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
This is a market on whether month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U) will be 0.6% or more from June to July, when the BLS releases month-to-month inflation information for the preceding month of July on August 11, 2021, 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by exactly 0.6 percent (i.e. sixty hundredths of 1%) or more from June 2021 to July 2021.
- This market will resolve to “No” if the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by less than 0.6 percent (i.e. sixty hundredths of 1%) from June 2021 to July 2021.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS July 2021 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on August 11, 2021, 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.6%, 0.5%, etc).
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+3.0pt66.7%
- 25 bps increase-2.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 45 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 10,4K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting-1.0pt34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%+3.0pt36%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 120,8K
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 117,4K
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July??
- Polymarket prijst No op 100% per 25 april 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? afgewikkeld?
- Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? wordt naar verwachting op 11 augustus 2021 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a market on whether month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U) will be 0.6% or more from June to July, when the BLS releases month-to-month inflation information for the preceding month of July on August 11, 2021, 8:30 AM ET.