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  2. China
  3. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0.1% (24u)One-OffChina3mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 3%
Marktkwaliteit

80 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 3,7K

Liquiditeit

€ 69,4K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

2.9% / 3.1%

Spread

6.9%

Gematigde spread
7d wijziging

-0.1%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

17 mrt 26, 23:2830 sep 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes3%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.