LimitlessBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 97.7%
Nee 97.7%Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
20 jan 26, 18:09 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by year's end?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 2%.
CoinRithm-referentie 2% · 2 platforms · 0 pt spreiding tussen venues