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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Middle East
  3. Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1.5% (24u)One-OffMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Bahrain
Bahrain 36%+27.5%
Koploper van 19 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 32,4K

Liquiditeit

€ 107,9K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

6.0% / 9.0%

Spread

50.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+0.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

22 mei 26, 21:3630 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Bahrain36%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
  • Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
  • Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.