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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

3.1% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekMiddle East
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
July 31
July 31 56%-7.0%
Koploper van 17 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

89 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,2 mln.

Liquiditeit

€ 329,7K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

5.3% / 5.5%

Spread

3.8%

Gematigde spread
7d wijziging

-16.6%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
May 28
May 28
0%
May 27
May 27
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

July 3156%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
  • A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:
  • Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.
  • Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.

Gerelateerde Markten

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

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December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

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Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

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Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

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How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

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US-Iran nuclear deal?

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Before July: 8%KalshiKALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,928.12+2.36%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.76%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.60%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.50%BNBBNB$597.07+1.89%

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
  • A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:
  • Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.
  • Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.