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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

0.4% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekMiddle East6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31
December 31 68%
Koploper van 17 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

89 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 3,8 mln.

Liquiditeit

€ 2 mln.

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

4.0% / 4.2%

Spread

5.0%

Gematigde spread
7d wijziging

-9.4%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

8 apr 26, 16:2331 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

December 3168%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran.
  • Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
  • A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
  • - The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran.
  • Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
  • A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
  • - The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.