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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Middle East
  3. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

0.4% (24u)One-OffMiddle East3d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 1%
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,2 mln.

Liquiditeit

€ 416,3K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

0.5% / 0.6%

Spread

20.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-2.9%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

26 mei 26, 5:1615 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes1%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.