US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?
Inflation
PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes
Afgewikkeld: 11 jan 2024, 15:45
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 147 dagen geleden
Verouderd12 dec 23, 19:1311 jan 24, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from November to December 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS November 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt33%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,6 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 116,9K
- 24u volume
- € 11,4K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 10,8K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 120,5K
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%42.2%
- 0.3%+3.0pt28.4%
- ≥0.5%-11.5pt10.8%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- CPI-U index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023??
- Polymarket prijst Yes op 100% per 31 maart 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? afgewikkeld?
- US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? wordt naar verwachting op 11 januari 2024 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.