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Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 23:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31 6%+0.2pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 8,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
0.2% / 1.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-1.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
26 mei 26, 17:03 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Open markten
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
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+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
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- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 6% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? afgewikkeld?
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.