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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

0.5% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 5%
Marktkwaliteit

61 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 15,7K

Liquiditeit

€ 14,7K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

4.6% / 5.3%

Spread

15.2%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+0.9%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden

26 mei 26, 17:1330 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes5%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
  • Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
  • The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
  • Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
  • The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.