PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
October 31 25%-0.5ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
63 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,9K
Liquiditeit
€ 21,8K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
10
7d wijziging
-5.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
8 jul 26, 22:21 UTC31 okt 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Greater Beirut by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Greater Beirut.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.