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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

0.8% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 2%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 49,6K

Liquiditeit

€ 38,9K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

1.4% / 1.6%

Spread

14.3%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-0.7%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

17 dec 25, 22:5430 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes2%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).