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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. US x Russia military clash by...?
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

0.8% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekRussia / Ukraine6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31,
December 31, 5%-0.8%
Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

89 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 48,8K

Liquiditeit

€ 50,6K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

5.0% / 5.2%

Spread

4.0%

Gematigde spread
7d wijziging

-0.9%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden

28 mei 25, 22:1631 dec 26, 12:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
December 31
December 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

December 31,5%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.
  • Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S.
  • MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,664.74+2.35%EthereumETH$1,650.73+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.78%XRPXRP$1.12+0.33%BNBBNB$595.52+1.68%

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.
  • Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S.
  • MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.