Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
2.5% (24u)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitiekMiddle EastEntertainmentMusic5mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansDecember 31 13%+2.5%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
44 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 87,9
Liquiditeit
€ 14,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
36.4%
Brede spread7d wijziging
-14.5%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
9 okt 25, 19:1731 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
December 3113%
Platforms vergelijken· December 31
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 13% | — | € 87,9 | € 14,2K | 8 minuten geleden | |
 Futuur93% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 81% | — | € 0 | € 1,1K | 28 minuten geleden | Openen → |
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Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
5mnd
81%
19%
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 0
24u volume€ 0
FUTUURRegels
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.
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Volumetrend
$1002 jul25d aan data26 jul
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On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.