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Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 22:08 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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December 31 15%
December 31 15%Marktkwaliteit
27 / 100
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
FutuurWhen will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This set of markets predicts whether the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, in effect since October 2025, will be cancelled.
- Each of the markets below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes".
- A market resolves to "Yes" if either Israel or Hamas announces the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a wide consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, on or before the market's deadline.
- Announcements or reports that one side violated the ceasefire are not sufficient on their own; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or a wide consensus of credible reporting that the ceasefire has ended, qualifies.
- Once the condition is first met, the resolution is final and irrevocable, even if a ceasefire is subsequently restored.
- The Primary Designated Sources are official information from the Government of Israel and from Hamas.