U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
0.1 ptn (24u)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitiekRussia / UkraineMiddle East3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 95%+0.1pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 11,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
4.2% / 6.7%
Spread
2.5 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+1.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
5 nov 25, 17:51 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
- Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
- The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
