PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
4.1% 30.8%Koploper van 9 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
51 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 98,4
Liquiditeit
€ 18,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
4 sep 26, 16:35 UTC2 okt 26, 08:30 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Mexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiAustralia unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegels
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? · Exactly 4.1% 31%
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 323,8K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 523K
- 24u volume
- € 22K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 611,8K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
- 24u volume
- € 10,5K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 7,7K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor September Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket prijst 4.1% op 31% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt September Unemployment Rate afgewikkeld?
- September Unemployment Rate wordt naar verwachting op 2 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt September Unemployment Rate afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- Waar wordt September Unemployment Rate nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.