PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 97%+0.4ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
62 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 5,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+20.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
1 jul 26, 22:48 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Claude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
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Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet.
- Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Next Claude Sonnet released by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Next Claude Sonnet released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Next Claude Sonnet released by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Next Claude Sonnet released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).