Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 94.5%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd3 feb 26, 04:20 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark?
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PolymarketWhat will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketClaude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsClaude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If SWE-bench verified is renamed or significantly updated, this market will resolve NO even if Claude Sonnet 5 achieves 85% on the renamed/updated version.
- The market is specifically about the benchmark called "SWE-bench verified" as it exists at market creation.
