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2026 93.6%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd7 jul 25, 07:13 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?
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Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
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PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegels
SWE-bench Verified is a 500-task, human-vetted slice of the SWE-bench dataset that removes ambiguous or unsolvable issues.
- Each task corresponds to a real GitHub bug-fix; success is measured only by whether the submitted patch makes all repository tests pass.
- Reaching 95 % would imply an agent that can reliably read unfamiliar codebases, localise bugs, implement multi-file patches, and satisfy rigorous unit tests—approaching or surpassing strong human-engineer performance on day-to-day bug-fixing.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the year-bracket in which a fully automated AI system first records an average accuracy of 95 % or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark.
- Verification – The claim must be confirmed by either
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2026 op 94% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark? afgewikkeld?
- In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: SWE-bench Verified is a 500-task, human-vetted slice of the SWE-bench dataset that removes ambiguous or unsolvable issues.