Deze markt is beslist: 1.15–1.19ºC (100%)
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige impliciete kans1.15–1.19ºC 100%+3.0ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 0
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
- / 0.1%
7d wijziging
-4.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 dagen geleden
Verouderd26 mei 26, 23:3530 jun 26, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
1.10–1.14ºC0%
1.25–1.29ºC0%
<1.10ºC0%
>1.29ºC0%
1.20–1.24ºC0%
1.15–1.19ºC100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· 1.15–1.19ºC
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen82% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 99% | — | € 11K | € 70,3K | 11 dagen geleden | Openen → |
 PolymarketDeze pagina | Laag | 100% | — | € 2,2K | € 0 | 17 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
Jun 2026 temperature increase?
Gesloten
Afgerond
1.03 to 1.09 (99%)
+1.0pt91.7%
1.9%
+1.0pt1.9%
+3 extra uitkomsten
38 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 112,6K
24u volume€ 11K
KALSHIRegels
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$1.2k99.7%POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshaba18 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshaba18 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$2.5k3 jul8d aan data10 jul
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This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.