Huidige impliciete kans
1st hottest 47%+0.5%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
52 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,1K
Liquiditeit
€ 6,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
20.0% / 38.0%
Spread
90.0%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
6 jul 26, 18:4931 jul 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
1st hottest47%
Volumetrend
$2.4k7 jul3d aan data9 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
€ 189,8Ja: 24%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
€ 77,6July 2026 less than 1.095C: 8.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
€ 35,4Ja: 23%KALSHI
KALSHIGlobal Average Temperature June 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
€ 0,1June 2026 less than 1.095C: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
€ 01.20–1.24ºC: 59%
POLYMARKET
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SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
€ 13,2KBefore July 17th: 28%KALSHI
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This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record.
- Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.