Huidige impliciete kans
45%+ 66%+1.0%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
79 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,8K
Liquiditeit
€ 13,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
65.0% / 66.0%
Spread
1.5%
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
23 jul 26, 22:4831 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
45%+66%
Volumetrend
$2.0k24 jul3d aan data26 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
- The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/.
- If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again.
- If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used.