PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans55%+ 85%+12.9%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
77 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 6,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 14,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
83.1% / 86.7%
Spread
4.3%
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
23 jul 26, 22:4431 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
55%+85%
Volumetrend
$7.2k24 jul3d aan data26 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
- The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/.
- If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again.
- If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used.