PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 99%-0.1pt
Marktkwaliteit
65 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 20,9
Liquiditeit
€ 17,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
0.7% / 2.2%
Spread
1.5 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
10
7d wijziging
+0.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
7 dec 25, 23:21 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
EU dissolves in ?
Manifold MarketsNATO dissolves before 2027?
PolymarketOPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketNATO dissolves by 2028
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- 1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
- 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
- EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt76%
- New People (NL)-1.7pt20%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt2%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 27,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 865,3K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.5pt96%
- Yes+0.5pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 36,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 466,5K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.1pt54.5%
- October 31-3.5pt30.9%
- September 30-2.0pt11.8%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt21%
- October 31-4.5pt13%
- September 30-1.6pt4%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 58 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 136,9K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor EU dissolves before 2027??
- Polymarket prijst No op 99% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt EU dissolves before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- EU dissolves before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt EU dissolves before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.