The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
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Verouderd17 aug 25, 10:40 UTC30 mrt 29, 22:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, before the federal polling day in February/March 2029 (if any) or by 31 Mar 2029, 23:59 CET otherwise, the federal cabinet in office is no longer a CDU/CSU–SPD coalition.
- This can occur via: (a) the Bundestag elects a new chancellor heading a different coalition; or (b) CDU/CSU or SPD exits government such that ministers from both are no longer in the cabinet.
- Verification will rely on official listings and announcements (Bundestag records of chancellor election and cabinet composition; presidential/bundestag notices on cabinet changes).
- (bundestag.de)
- Resolves NO if, at the cutoff, the cabinet in office is still composed of CDU/CSU and SPD ministers (including any caretaker period with the same parties).
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 53% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections? afgewikkeld?
- The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections? wordt naar verwachting op 30 maart 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria