PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
0.2% 67.3%+2.5ptKoploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
68 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 376,7
Liquiditeit
€ 6,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadComments
0
7d wijziging
+1.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
31 jul 26, 23:4426 aug 26, 13:30
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 36,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,5 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 64,4K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 106,4K
- 24u volume
- € 13,5K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 45,6K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9K
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Core PCE MoM - July 2026?
- Polymarket prijst 0.2% op 67% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Core PCE MoM - July 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 26 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Core PCE MoM - July 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.